Trouble Down South

Brazil’s Bovespa stock market was briefly halted as investors reacted to corruption allegations against Brazilian President Michel Temer.

Stocks plunged more than 10% at the start of trading, prompting circuit breakers to kick in and halt dealings.

President Temer was forced to deny a newspaper report that he had given consent to paying off a witness in a huge corruption scandal.

The Supreme Court has authorised an investigation into the allegations.

On Thursday Mr Temer said in a TV statement: “I never authorised any payments for someone to be silent. I did not buy anyone’s silence. I fear no accusations.”

“I have nothing to hide. I never authorised anyone to use my name”

“We cannot throw so much hard work [on reforms] done for our country in the rubbish bin.”

“I will not resign. I will not resign. I know what I have done.”

Investors are concerned that Mr Temer’s reform plans could be derailed. The Ibovespa index closed more than 8.8% down at 61,575 points.

Mr Temer is trying to get pension reforms through Congress that would mean men would have a minimum retirement age of 65, and women 62, and most people would contribute more. There is currently no minimum retirement age.

There are also labour reforms on the cards to weaken trade union bargaining powers and make hiring and firing workers easier.

“I’ve never seen anything like this”, said one trader with decades of experience.

Trading was delayed in Sao Paulo’s stock exchange and once it opened, the circuit breaker stopped all operations within just a few minutes. That has not happened since the global financial crisis of 2008.

In a fortnight Mr Temer was about to start pushing his economic reform plan through Congress.

Until Tuesday markets were very optimistic – but now many don’t see how Mr Temer can keep his job if the allegations about a tape in which he condones a bribe payment are true.

What happens next? If Mr Temer keeps his job, he will need a Herculean effort to get Congress behind him again. If not, the Brazilian Congress will have to chose a new president indirectly.

Getting reforms approved is no longer a top priority for a country still in deep crisis.

Cheerio.

The Pinstripe and Bowler Club shares information with MF Solutions Ltd.

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